IZA - All published DPs

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No. Author(s) Title JEL Class.
16386 Peng Nie
Qiaoge Li
Lanlin Ding
Alfonso Sousa-Poza
Housing Unaffordability and Adolescent Academic Achievement in Urban China
Rising housing prices in China have placed significant financial strain on many households, pushing them into the quagmire of housing unaffordability. Such economic pressures may have repercussions ...
(published online in: Applied Economics, 21 August 2024)
I20, I31, R20
16384 Pedro Carneiro
Yyannu Cruz Aguayo
Francesca Salvati
Norbert Schady
The Effect of Classroom Rank on Learning throughout Elementary School: Experimental Evidence from Ecuador
We study the impact of classroom rank on children's learning using a unique experiment from Ecuador. Within each school, students were randomly assigned to classrooms in every grade between ...
(published in: Journal of Labor Economics, 2025, 43 (2), 293-663)
I20
16381 Wolfgang Keller
Hale Utar
International Trade and Job Polarization: Evidence at the Worker Level
We employ employer-employee matched data from Denmark and utilize plausibly exogenous variation in the rise of import competition due to the dismantling of import quotas as China entered the World ...
(published in: Journal of International Economics, 2023, 145, 103810.)
F14, F16, F66, J23, J24, J62
16375 Julio Cáceres-Delpiano
Eugenio Giolito
School Starting Age and the Impact on School Admission
This study employs Chilean administrative data to investigate the impact of School Starting Age (SSA) on the characteristics of students' initial enrolled schools. Employing minimum age requirements ...
(published in: Empirical Economics, 2024, 67, 225–251)
A21, I24, I25, I28
16373 Kailing Shen
Yanran Zhu
Labor Force Transition Dynamics: Unemployment Rate or Job Posting Counts?
Job posting counts (JPCs) are increasingly being used as indicators of employment dynamics, but they have not received sufficient research attention to establish their value as a metric of these ...
(published in: B. Elsner and S. W. Polachek (eds.), Big Data Applications in Labor Economics, Part A (Research in Labor Economics, Vol. 52 A), 2024, 1-33)
J64, J23, J63
16371 Ihsaan Bassier
Alan Manning
Barbara Petrongolo
Vacancy Duration and Wages
We estimate the elasticity of vacancy duration with respect to posted wages, using data from the near-universe of online job adverts in the United Kingdom. Our research design identifies duration ...
(fortcoming in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2025)
J42, J63, J64
16370 Frederik H. Bennhoff
Jorge Luis García
Duncan Ermini Leaf
The Dynastic Benefits of Early Childhood Education: Participant Benefits and Family Spillovers
We demonstrate the social efficiency of investing in high-quality early childhood education using newly collected data from the HighScope Perry Preschool Project. The data analyzed are the longest ...
(published in: Human Capital, 2024, 18 (1), 44-73.)
J13, I28, C93, H43
16369 Abel Brodeur
Scott E. Carrell
David N. Figlio
Lester Lusher
Unpacking P-Hacking and Publication Bias
We use unique data from journal submissions to identify and unpack publication bias and p-hacking. We find that initial submissions display significant bunching, suggesting the distribution among ...
(published in: American Economic Review, 2023, 113 (11), 2974-3002)
A11, C13, C40
16368 Frederik Almar
Bastian Schulz
Optimal Weights for Marital Sorting Measures
Changing distributions of male and female types affect the measurement of educationbased marriage market sorting. We develop a weighting strategy that minimizes the distortion of sorting measures due ...
(published in: Economics Letters, 2024, 234, 11497)
C43, D10, J11, J12
16364 Hani Mansour
Pamela Medina
Andrea Velasquez
When Women's Work Disappears: Marriage and Fertility Decisions in Peru
This paper studies the gendered labor market and demographic effects of trade liberalization in Peru. To identify these effects, we use variation in the exposure of local labor markets to import ...
(published in: Journal of Globalization and Development, 2023, 14 (2), 385-412.)
J16, J12, J13, J23
16361 Mehrzad B. Baktash
Uwe Jirjahn
Are Managers More Machiavellian than Other Employees?
Concerns about corporate scandals and abusive leadership suggest that individuals with an opportunistic and manipulative personality take advantage of incomplete incentive and control systems to get ...
(revised version forthcoming in: Industrial and Labor Relations Review)
D23, D90, J24, M12, M51
16359 David Escamilla-Guerrero
Edward Kosack
Zachary Ward
The Impact of Violence during the Mexican Revolution on Migration to the United States
The number of individuals forcibly displaced by conflicts has been rising in the past few decades. However, we know little about the dynamics - magnitude, timing, and persistence - of ...
(published in: Journal of Development Economics, 2025, 176, 103515.)
F22, N31, N32, N36
16357 Abdulmohsen Almuhaisen
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes
Delia Furtado
Immigration Enforcement and the Institutionalization of Elderly Americans
This paper examines the relationship between immigration enforcement and institutionalization rates of the elderly. Exploiting the staggered implementation of the Secure Communities (SC) immigration ...
(published in: Journal of Health Economoics, 2024, 94, 102859)
J14, J61, J68
16356 L. Rachel Ngai
Orhun Sevinc
A Multisector Perspective on Wage Stagnation
Low-skill workers are concentrated in sectors experiencing fast productivity growth, yet their real wages have stagnated and lagged behind aggregate productivity. We provide evidence demonstrating ...
(this version: July 2024)
E24, J23, J31
16355 David G. Blanchflower
Alex Bryson
Were COVID and the Great Recession Well-Being Reducing?
Using micro-data on six surveys – the Gallup World Poll 2005-2023, the U.S. Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System, 1993-2022, Eurobarometer 1991-2022, the UK Covid Social Survey Panel, ...
(published in: PloS ONE, 2024, 19 (11), e0305347)
I31
16354 Vincent Boucher
Michelle Rendall
Philip Ushchev
Yves Zenou
Towards a General Theory of Peer Effects
There is substantial empirical evidence showing that peer effects matter in many activities. The workhorse model in empirical work on peer effects is the linear-in-means (LIM) model, whereby it is ...
(published in: Econometrica, 2024, 92 (2), 543-565)
C31, D04, D85, Z13
16353 Yumi Koh
Jing Li
Yifan Wu
Junjian Yi
Hanzhe Zhang
Young Women in Cities
Young women outnumber young men in cities in many countries during periods of economic growth and urbanization. This gender imbalance among young urbanites is more pronounced in larger cities. We use ...
(published as 'Young women in cities:published as 'Young women in cities: Urbanization and gender-biased migration' in: Journal of Development Economics, 2025, 172, 103378)
O15, J12
16351 Steven J. Davis
Pawel M. Krolikowski
Sticky Wages on the Layoff Margin
We design and field an innovative survey of unemployment insurance (UI) recipients that yields new insights about wage stickiness on the layoff margin. Most UI recipients express a willingness to ...
(published in: American Economic Review, 2025, 115 (2), 491 - 524)
E24, J63, J65
16349 Maria Balgova
Hannah Illing
Job Displacement and Migrant Labor Market Assimilation
This paper sheds new light on the barriers to migrants' labor market assimilation. Using administrative data for Germany from 1997-2016, we estimate dynamic difference-in-differences regressions to ...
(updated version available as DP 17496)
J62, J63, J64
16348 Andrew Foster
Merve Betül Gökçe
Murat Güray Kirdar
Intergenerational Power Shift and the Rise of Non-arranged Marriages among Refugees
The experience of war and refugee status can alter intra-family dynamics and therefore have implications for family formation, including marriage. This study investigates marriage patterns among ...
(published as 'Intergenerational Power Shift and the Rise of Nonarranged Marriages Among Refugees' in: Demography, 2024, 61 (5), 1427 - 1454)
J12, J15
16339 Stefan Leopold
Jens Ruhose
Simon Wiederhold
Why Is the Roy-Borjas Model Unable to Predict International Migrant Selection on Education? Evidence from Urban and Rural Mexico
The Roy-Borjas model predicts that international migrants are less educated than nonmigrants because the returns to education are generally higher in developing (migrant-sending) than in developed ...
(published in: World Economy, 2025, 48 (2), 300 - 322)
F22, O15, J61, J24
16338 David L. Dickinson
Dark versus Light Personality Types and Moral Choice
Dark personality traits have been linked to behaviors commonly understood as unethical, such as fraud, bribe-taking, and marital infidelity. Presumably, more "light" personality traits may be ...
(published in: European Economic Review, 2025, 178, 105092)
C91, D91, D63
16332 Chi Shen
Sha Lai
Qiwei Deng
Dan Cao
Dantong Zhao
Yaxin Zhao
Zhongliang Zhou
Wanyue Dong
Xi Chen
Do Primary Healthcare Facilities in More Remote Areas Provide More Medical Services? Spatial Evidence from Rural Western China
Primary healthcare institutions (PHIs) in China have experienced a sizable decline in medical services in recent years. Despite the large regional disparities in China, there is a lack of evidence on ...
(published in: Health & Social Care in the Community, 2023, 6131486 )
I11, I14, I18, R53
16331 Yen-Chien Chen
Elliott Fan
Yu-Hsin Ho
Matthew Yi-Hsiu Lee
Jin-Tan Liu
How Does Gender Quota Shape Gender Attitudes?
Starting in 2002, each electoral district in Taiwan is required to reserve one seat for women out of every four seats at the local councils, creating a 'zigzag' function of female councilors ...
(published in: Journal of Development Economics, 2025, 174, 103451.)
J16, J13, I23, D10
16330 Brian Callaci
Matthew Gibson
Sergio Pinto
Marshall Steinbaum
Matt Walsh
The Effect of Franchise No-Poaching Restrictions on Worker Earnings
We evaluate the impact of the Washington State Attorney General's enforcement campaign against employee no-poaching clauses in franchising contracts, which unfolded from 2018 through early 2020. ...
(published online in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 25 November 2024)
J42, K21, L40, J31
16327 Ignacio Belloc
José Alberto Molina
Jorge Velilla
Effects of Lottery Wins on Household Labor Supply
This paper analyses the impact of current and past lottery wins on household labor supply in the United Kingdom using data from the British Household Panel Survey 1997-2008. Estimating individual ...
(forthcoming in: Manchester School, 2025)
D13, D31, J22
16322 Zhiming Cheng
Liwen Guo
Massimiliano Tani
Sarah Cook
Air Pollution and Education Investment
Our study focuses on exploring the impact of air pollution on household investment in children's education in China. Air pollution poses a significant risk to some cities in northern China. We have ...
(published in: Energy Economics 2024, 132, 107496, )
Q53, I20, D10
16319 Liwen Guo
Zhiming Cheng
Massimiliano Tani
Sarah Cook
Jiaqi Zhao
Xi Chen
Air Pollution and Entrepreneurship
We investigate the effect of exposure to air pollution on an individual's likelihood towards entrepreneurship using panel data in China. To address omitted variable bias and endogeneity arising from ...
(published in: China Economic Review, 2025, 89, 102327)
J24, L26, Q53
16318 Dmitriy Sergeyev
Chen Lian
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
The Economics of Financial Stress
We study the psychological costs of financial constraints and their economic consequences. Using a representative survey of U.S. households, we document the prevalence of financial stress in U.S. ...
(published online in: Review of Economic Studies, 15 November 2024)
E7, G5
16313 Jacob Nielsen Arendt
Christian Dustmann
Hyejin Ku
Permanent Residency and Refugee Immigrants' Skill Investment
We analyze an immigration reform in Denmark that tightened refugee immigrants' eligibility criteria for permanent residency to incentivize their labor market attachment and acquisition of local ...
(published in: Journal of Labor Economics, 2025, 43 (2), 293-318)
J22, J24, J61
16311 Stijn Baert
Jolien Herregods
Philippe Sterkens
What Does Job Applicants' Body Art Signal to Employers?
In this study, we present a state-of-the-art scenario experiment which, for the first time in the literature, directly measures the stigma surrounding job candidates with tattoos and piercings using ...
(published in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2024, 217, 742 - 755)
C91, J24, J71
16306 David L. Dickinson
Parker Reid
Gambling Habits and Probability Judgements in a Bayesian Task Environment
Little is known about how gamblers estimate probabilities from multiple information sources. This paper reports on a preregistered study that administered an incentivized Bayesian choice task to ...
(revised version published in: Journal of Gambling Studies, 2025, 98, 95- 152 )
C91, D91, D83
16304 Veronica Frisancho
Alejandro Herrera
Silvia Prina
Can a Mobile-App-Based Behavioral Intervention Teach Financial Skills to Youth? Experimental Evidence from a Financial Diaries Study
We study the impact of a mobile-app-based behavioral intervention on youth's financial literacy and financial behavior. To maximize the chances to reach out-of-school youth, we provided access to a ...
(published in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2023, 214, 595- 614)
C93, D90, G41, G53, O12, O16
16303 Margherita Comola
Silvia Prina
The Interplay among Savings Accounts and Network-Based Financial Arrangements: Evidence from a Field Experiment
This paper studies how formal financial access affects network-based financial arrangements. We use a field experiment that granted access to a savings account to a random subset of households in 19 ...
(published in: Economic Journal, 2023, 133 (649), 516 - 535)
C93, D14, G21, O16, O17
16302 Catalina Herrera-Almanza
Fernanda Marquez-Padilla
Silvia Prina
C-Sections, Obesity, and Health-Care Specialization: Evidence from Mexico
This study explores whether hospitals with higher increases in obesity levels have higher CS rates and the consequential effects on maternal and newborn health in Mexico for 2008-2015. It models how ...
(published in: World Bank Economic Review, 2024, 38 (1), 139 - 160)
I11, I18, J13, D22
16301 Niklas Elert
Magnus Henrekson
The Profit Motive in the Classroom - Friend or Foe?
Can competition and the existence of profit-seeking actors in the school market improve educational quality? To see cost-efficient, long-term improvements, we identify the school system's capacity ...
(published in: Journal of School Choice, 2024, 19 (1), 163–186)
H42, H44, H75, I22, I28, L88, O31
16300 Mette Gřrtz
Miriam Gensowski
The Education-Health Gradient: Revisiting the Role of Socio-Emotional Skills
Is the education-health gradient inflated because both education and health are associated with unobserved socio-emotional skills? Revisiting the literature, we find that the gradient is reduced by ...
(published in: Journal of Health Economics, 2024, 97, 102911)
I14, I12, I24, I31
16299 Mindy Marks
Silvia Prina
Redina Tahaj
Short-Term Labor Supply Response to the Timing of Transfer Payments: Evidence from the SNAP Program
We study the effect of the timing of SNAP payments on weekly labor supply using data from the CPS. We rely on exogenous variation in the fielding of CPS interviews relative to benefit receipt to ...
(published in: Labour Economics, 2024, 91, 102646)
J22, I38
16298 Timothy J. Hatton
The Political Economy of Assisted Immigration: Australia 1860-1913
From 1860 to 1913 the six colonies that became states of Australia strove to attract migrants from the UK with a variety of assisted passages. The colonies/states shared a common culture and sought ...
(published in: Explorations in Economic History, 2024, 92, 101565)
F22, N37, N47
16296 Tijan L. Bah
Catia Batista
Flore Gubert
David McKenzie
Can Information and Alternatives to Irregular Migration Reduce "Backway" Migration from The Gambia?
Irregular migration from West Africa to Europe across the Sahara and Mediterranean is extremely risky for migrants and a key policy concern. A cluster-randomized experiment with 3,641 young men from ...
(published in: Journal of Development Economics, 2023, 165, 103153.)
O15, F22, J61
16293 Margarita Leib
Nils Köbis
Rainer Michael Rilke
Marloes Hagens
Bernd Irlenbusch
Corrupted by Algorithms? How AI-Generated and Human-Written Advice Shape (Dis)Honesty
Artificial Intelligence (AI) increasingly becomes an indispensable advisor. New ethical concerns arise if AI persuades people to behave dishonestly. In an experiment, we study how AI advice ...
(published in: Economic Journal, 2024, 134 (658), 766 - 784)
C91, D90, D91
16291 Stefan Bauernschuster
Matthias Blum
Erik Hornung
Christoph Koenig
The Political Effects of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Weimar Germany
How do health crises affect election results? We combine a panel of election results from 1893–1933 with spatial heterogeneity in excess mortality due to the 1918 Influenza to assess the pandemic's ...
(published in: Explorations in Economic History, 2025, 96, 101648.)
D72, I18, N34, H51
16289 Quinn Keefer
Thomas J. Kniesner
Injury Risk, Concussions, Race, and Pay in the NFL
We make two main contributions to the literature on work-related injury risk and economic outcomes in the context of American professional football. One is to examine an increasingly important ...
(published in: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2023, 67(2), 107-136)
D81, J31, J81, Z21, Z22, C23
16287 David S. Jacks
Krishna Pendakur
Hitoshi Shigeoka
Anthony Wray
Later-Life Mortality and the Repeal of Federal Prohibition
Despite a recent and dramatic re-evaluation of the health consequences of alcohol consumption, very little is known about the effects of in utero exposure to alcohol on long-run outcomes such as ...
(published in: Journal of Public Economics, 2024, 238, 105192)
H73, I18, J18, N32
16283 David B. Huffman
Collin Raymond
Julia Shvets
Persistent Overconfidence and Biased Memory: Evidence from Managers
A long-standing puzzle is how overconfidence can persist in settings characterized by repeated feedback. This paper studies managers who participate repeatedly in a high-powered tournament incentive ...
(published in: American Economic Review, 2022, 112 (10), 3141–3175)
D82, D83, J33, L25, L81, M52, M54
16281 Timothy J. Hatton
Emigrant Voyages from the UK to North America and Australasia, 1853-1913
Studies of the determinants of emigration from Europe from 1850 to 1913 include the gains to migrants but often neglect the costs. One component of those costs is earnings forgone on the voyage. In ...
(published in: Economic History Review, 2025, 78 (2), 452 - 473)
F22, O33, N73
16280 Aline Bütikofer
Rita Ginja
Krzysztof Karbownik
Fanny Landaud
(Breaking) Intergenerational Transmission of Mental Health
We estimate health associations across generations and dynasties using information on healthcare visits from administrative data for the entire Norwegian population. A parental mental health ...
(published in: Journal of Human Resources, 2024, 59 (S), S108-S151)
I14, I18, J12, J62
16279 José Ignacio Gimenez-Nadal
José Alberto Molina
Jorge Velilla
Pro-environment Attitudes and Worker Commuting Behavior
The private vehicle is, for most developed countries, the prevalent commuting mode of workers, and one of the main source of CO2 emissions. The choice of the mode of transport for commuting trips ...
(published in: Economiy Analysis and Policy, 2025, 86, 1967-1986)
A13, Q52, R41
16277 Mark Drozd
Robert A. Moffitt
Xinyu Zhao
The Effect of the COVID-19 Pandemic Recession on Less Educated Women's Human Capital: Some Projections
The recession induced by the COVID-19 pandemic resulted in major declines in employment of women, both from the demand side as firms reduced employment and from the supply side resulting from school ...
(published in: Journal of Labor Economics, 2024, 42 (2), 289–323)
J16, J22, J24, J64
16274 Timothy J. Hatton
Time on the Crossing: Emigrant Voyages across the Atlantic, 1853 to 1913
I provide a new series of the average duration of emigrant voyages from Liverpool to New York from 1853 to 1913. Time on the crossing fell by 80 percent, from about 40 days to just eight, most of ...
(published in: European Review of Economic History, 2024, 28 (1), 120–133 )
F22, O33, N73
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