IZA - All published DPs

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No. Author(s) Title JEL Class.
14378 Bernardo Candia
Olivier Coibion
Yuriy Gorodnichenko
The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey
Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U.S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series ...
(published in: Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024, 145 (S), 103569)
E3, E4, E5
14376 Hannah Klauber
Felix Holub
Nicolas Koch
Nico Pestel
Nolan Ritter
Alexander Rohlf
Killing Prescriptions Softly: Low Emission Zones and Child Health from Birth to School
We examine the persistence of the impact of early-life exposure to air pollution on children's health from birth to school enrollment using administrative public health insurance records covering one ...
(revised version published in: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2024, 16 (2), 220-248)
I18, Q51, Q53, Q58
14375 Christina Boll
Dana Müller
Simone Schüller
Neither Backlash nor Convergence: Dynamics of Intracouple Childcare Division after the First COVID-19 Lockdown and Subsequent Reopening in Germany
Using unique monthly panel data from the Institute for Employment Research (IAB) covering the immediate postlockdown period from June to August 2020, we investigate the opposing claims of ...
(revised version published in: Journal for Labour Market Research, 2023, 57, 27)
D13, J13, J16
14373 Patricia Cortes
Jessica Pan
Laura Pilossoph
Basit Zafar
Gender Differences in Job Search and the Earnings Gap: Evidence from Business Majors
To understand gender differences in the job search process, we collect rich information on job offers and acceptances from past and current undergraduates of Boston University's Questrom School of ...
(published as 'Gender Differences in Job Search and the Earnings Gap: Evidence from the Field and Lab' in: Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2023, 138 (4), 2069–2126)
D83, D91, J64
14371 Vasiliki Fouka
Soumyajit Mazumder
Marco Tabellini
From Immigrants to Americans: Race and Assimilation during the Great Migration
How does the arrival of a new minority group affect the social acceptance and outcomes of existing minorities? We study this question in the context of the First Great Migration. Between 1915 and ...
(Review of Economic Studies, 2022, 89 (2), 811–842)
J11, J15, N32
14370 Francisco H. G. Ferreira
Olivier Sterck
Daniel Gerszon Mahler
Benoit Decerf
Death and Destitution: The Global Distribution of Welfare Losses from the COVID-19 Pandemic
The Covid-19 pandemic has brought about massive declines in wellbeing around the world. This paper seeks to quantify and compare two important components of those losses – increased mortality and ...
(published in: LSE Public Policy Review, 2021, 4 (2), 1- 11 )
D60, I15, I31, I32
14369 Ines Helm
Jan Stuhler
The Dynamic Response of Municipal Budgets to Revenue Shocks
We study the fiscal and tax response to intergovernmental grants, exploiting quasi-experimental variation within Germany's fiscal equalization scheme triggered by Census revisions of official ...
(published in: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. 2024, 16 (4), 484–527)
H71, H72, H77, E62
14367 Mattia Filomena
Matteo Picchio
Are Temporary Jobs Stepping Stones or Dead Ends? A Meta-Analytical Review of the Literature
We present a meta-analysis on the debate about the "stepping stone vs. dead end" hypothesis related to the causal effect of temporary jobs on future labour market performances. We select academic ...
(published in: International Journal of Manpower, 2022, 43 (9), 60 - 74. )
J08, J41, J42, J81
14366 Haizheng Li
Qinyi Liu
Mingyu Ma
How the COVID-19 Pandemic Affects Job Stress of Rural Teachers
This study investigates how the COVID-19 pandemic has affected teachers' job-specific stresses and their enthusiasm for the teaching occupation. We use unique data from China that cover the periods ...
(published as 'How the COVID-19 pandemic affects job sentiments of rural teachers' in: China Economic Review, 2022, 72, 101759)
I18, J24, J28
14364 Wiji Arulampalam
Valentina Corradi
Daniel Gutknecht
Intercept Estimation in Nonlinear Selection Models
We propose various semiparametric estimators for nonlinear selection models, where slope and intercept can be separately identifed. When the selection equation satisfies a monotonic index ...
(published online in: Econometric Theory, 24 April 2023)
C14, C21, C24
14363 Wiji Arulampalam
Andrea Papini
Tax Progressivity and Self-Employment Dynamics
Analysis of the relationship between taxes and self-employment should account for the interplay between responses in self-employment and wage employment. To this end, we estimate a two-state ...
(published in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2023, 105 (2), 377 - 391)
H24, H25, J24, C41
14361 René Böheim
Michael Christl
Mismatch Unemployment in Austria: The Role of Regional Labour Markets for Skills
During the last decade, the Austrian labour market experienced a substantial outward shift of the Beveridge curve. Using detailed administrative data on vacancies and registered unemployed by region ...
(published in: Regional Studies, Regional Science, 2022, 9 (1), 208–222)
J21, J64
14360 Karina Doorley
Cathal O'Donoghue
Denisa M. Sologon
The Gender Gap in Income and the COVID-19 Pandemic
The gender income gap is large and well documented for many countries. Recent research shows that it is mainly driven by differences in working patterns between men and women, but also by wage ...
(published in: Social Sciences, 2022, 11 (7), 311 )
D31, H23, J16, J31
14359 Simone Schüller
Hannah S. Steinberg
Parents under Stress: Evaluating Emergency Childcare Policies during the First COVID-19 Lockdown in Germany
What are the effects of school and daycare facility closures during the COVID-19 pandemic on parental well-being and parenting behavior? Can emergency childcare policies during a pandemic mitigate ...
(revised version published in: Labour Economics, 2022, 78, 102217 )
D04, D13, I18, I31, J13
14357 Martin Biewen
Miriam Sturm
Why a Labour Market Boom Does Not Necessarily Bring Down Inequality: Putting Together Germany's Inequality Puzzle
After an economically tough start into the new millennium, Germany experienced an unprecedented employment boom after 2005 only stopped by the COVID-19 pandemic. Persistently high levels of ...
(published in: Fiscal Studies, 2022, 43 (2), 121-149)
C14, D31, I30
14356 Michael S. Kofoed
Lucas Gebhart
Dallas Gilmore
Ryan Moschitto
Zooming to Class?: Experimental Evidence on College Students' Online Learning during COVID-19
COVID-19 shifted schools and colleges to online instruction with little causal evidence of outcomes. In the fall of 2020, we randomized 551 West Point students in a required Introductory Economics ...
(published in: American Economic Review: Insights, 2024, 6 (3), 324-340)
I21, I23, H75
14354 Alberto Alesina
Marco Tabellini
The Political Effects of Immigration: Culture or Economics?
We review the growing literature on the political effects of immigration. After a brief summary of the economics of immigration, we turn to the main focus of the paper: how immigrants influence ...
(published in: Journal of Economic Literature, 2024, 62 (1), 5–46)
D72, J11, J15, J61, Z1
14352 Patrick A. Puhani
Margret K. Sterrenberg
Effects of Mandatory Military Service on Wages and Other Socioeconomic Outcomes
In this paper, we estimate the effects of mandatory military service by exploiting the post-cold war decrease in the need for soldiers causing a substantial number of potential conscripts not to be ...
(revised version published as 'Effects of Mandatory Military and Alternative Community Service on Wages and Other Socioeconomic outcomes' in: Kyklos, 2022, 75 (3), 488 - 507)
J12, J24, J47
14351 Ghazala Azmat
Katja Maria Kaufmann
Formation of College Plans: Expected Returns, Preferences and Adjustment Process
We exploit a large exogenous shock to study the determinants of college attendance and the role played by one's environment. We analyze whether, and how quickly, adolescents' college plans are ...
(published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2024, 22 (2), 669–711)
I21, D72, D91
14350 Zuzana Brixiova Schwidrowski
Susumu Imai
Thierry Kangoye
Nadege Desiree Yameogo
Assessing Gender Gaps in Employment and Earnings in Africa: The Case of Eswatini
Persistent gender gaps characterize labor markets in many African countries. Utilizing Eswatini's first three labor market surveys (conducted in 2007, 2010, and 2013), this paper provides first ...
(published in: Development Southern Africa, 2021, 38 (4), 643–663)
J16, J21, L26, O12
14347 Lina Diaz
Daniel Houser
John Ifcher
Homa Zarghamee
Estimating Social Preferences Using Stated Satisfaction: Novel Support for Inequity Aversion
In this paper, we use stated satisfaction to estimate social preferences: subjects report their satisfaction with payment-profiles that hold their own payment constant while varying another subject's ...
(published in: European Economic Review, 2023, 155, 104436)
C91, D31, D63, I31
14345 Daniel Goller
Stefan C. Wolter
"Too Shocked to Search": The COVID-19 Shutdowns' Impact on the Search for Apprenticeships
This study is, to the best of our knowledge, the first analysis of apprenticeship supply that allows us to analyse the effects of the shutdowns triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic before, during and ...
(published in: Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, 2021,157, 6 (2021))
I20, J22
14344 Ceren Ozgen
The Economics of Diversity: Innovation, Productivity, and the Labour Market
The empirical evidence on the economic impacts of diversity is mixed. Many studies in the literature present context dependent and data driven results which are challenging to reconcile with each ...
(published in: Journal of Economic Surveys, 2021, 35 (4), 1168-1216)
J24, J15, F22, O15
14343 Daniel S. Hamermesh
Michal Myck
Monika Oczkowska
Widows' Time, Time Stress and Happiness: Adjusting to Loss
By age 77 a plurality of women in wealthy Western societies are widows. Comparing older (aged 70+) married women to widows in the American Time Use Survey 2003-18 and linking the data to the Current ...
(published as 'Widows' Time: Adjusting to Loss' in: Research in Labor Economics, 2023, 50, 369-396)
J22, J14, I31
14342 David N. Figlio
Cassandra M. D. Hart
Krzysztof Karbownik
Effects of Scaling up Private School Choice Programs on Public School Students
Using a rich dataset that merges student-level school records with birth records, and leveraging a student fixed effects design, we explore how the massive scale-up of a Florida private school choice ...
(published in: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2023, 15 (4), 255-294 )
H75, I21, I22, I28
14341 Thomas Gries
Wim Naudé
The Race of Man and Machine: Implications of Technology When Abilities and Demand Constraints Matter
In "The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment," Acemoglu and Restrepo (2018b) combine the task-based model of the labor market with an ...
(published in: W. Naudé and T. Gries and N. Dimitri (eds.), Artificial Intelligence: Economic Perspectives and Models, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2024)
O47, O33, J24, E21, E25
14340 Ewa Galecka-Burdziak
Marek Góra
Jonas Jessen
Robin Jessen
Jochen Kluve
The Effects of Shortening Potential Benefit Duration: Evidence from Regional Cut-Offs and a Policy Reform
We quantify labour market effects of changes in the potential benefit duration (PBD) in Poland. Individual workers' PBD depends on the county unemployment rate relative to the national average - 12 ...
(updated version available as IZA DP 15978)
H55, J20, J65
14338 Jeffrey T. Denning
Eric R. Eide
Kevin J. Mumford
Daniel Sabey
Decreasing Time to Baccalaureate Degree in the United States
After increasing in the 1970s and 1980s, time to bachelor's degree has declined since the 1990s. We document this fact using data from three nationally representative surveys. We show that this ...
(published in: Economics of Education Review, 2022, 90, 102287)
I20, I21
14337 Tijan L. Bah
Catia Batista
Flore Gubert
David McKenzie
How Has COVID-19 Affected the Intention to Migrate via the Backway to Europe and to a Neighboring African Country? Survey Evidence and a Salience Experiment in the Gambia
The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in border closures in many countries and a sharp reduction in overall international mobility. However, this disruption of legal pathways to migration has raised ...
(published as 'COVID-19 and Changes in Intentions to Migrate from The Gambia' in: Journal of African Economies, 2024, 33 (1), 1–19)
F22, O15, J61, C93
14336 Michael Gibbs
Friederike Mengel
Christoph Siemroth
Work from Home & Productivity: Evidence from Personnel & Analytics Data on IT Professionals
Using personnel and analytics data from over 10,000 skilled professionals at a large Asian IT services company, we compare productivity before and during the work from home [WFH] period of the ...
(published in: Journal of Political Economy: Microeconomics, 2023, 1 (1), 7 - 41)
D2, M5
14335 Francine D. Blau
Lawrence M. Kahn
Nikolai Boboshko
Matthew Comey
The Impact of Selection into the Labor Force on the Gender Wage Gap
We study the impact of selection bias on the gender pay gap, focusing on post 1981 period. Previous work on this question has found divergent results. Using Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics ...
(published in: Journal of Labor Economics, 2024, 42 (2), 1093–1133)
C21, C24, J16, J31
14334 marc diederichs
Peter G. Kremsner
Timo Mitze
Gernot Müller
Dominik Papies
Felix Schulz
Klaus Wälde
Is Large-Scale Rapid Cov-2 Testing a Substitute For Lockdowns? The Case of Tuebingen
Various forms of contact restriction have been adopted in response to the Covid-19 pandemic. Only recently, rapid testing appeared as a new policy instrument. If sufficiently effective, it may serve ...
(published as 'Is large-scale rapid CoV-2 testing a substitute for lockdowns?' in: PLoS ONE, 2022, 17 (3), e0265207.)
I18, C23
14333 Jérôme Adda
Christian Dustmann
Joseph-Simon Goerlach
The Dynamics of Return Migration, Human Capital Accumulation, and Wage Assimilation
This paper develops and estimates a dynamic model where individuals differ in ability and location preference to evaluate the mechanisms that affect the evolution of immigrants' careers in ...
(published in: Review of Economic Studies, 2022, 89 (6), 2841 - 2871)
F22, J24, J61
14332 Ying Cui
Pedro S. Martins
What Drives Social Returns to Education? A Meta-Analysis
Education can generate important externalities that contribute towards economic growth and convergence. In this paper, we study such externalities and their drivers by conducting the first ...
(published in: World Development, 2021,148, 105651)
I26, I28, J24, J31, C36
14331 Adam M. Lavecchia
Alisa Tazhitdinova
Permanent and Transitory Responses to Capital Gains Taxes: Evidence from a Lifetime Exemption in Canada
Using panel data on a 20% random sample of Canadian taxpayers, we study behavioral responses to the cancellation of a lifetime capital gains exemption that resulted in increased capital gains ...
(published online in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 30 April 2024)
H24, H31, G51
14330 Emanuele Brancati
Carlo Pietrobelli
Caio Torres Mazzi
The Influence of Value-Chain Governance on Innovation Performance: A Study of Italian Suppliers
This paper explores how value-chain governance affects the innovation performance of suppliers of intermediate products. We take advantage of a unique dataset of Italian firms to identify governance ...
(published in: Eurasian Business Review, 2024, 14 (2), 319-344)
F14, O30
14328 Yoon Y. Cho
Soohyung Lee
How to Improve Worker-Firm Matching: Evidence from a Temporary Foreign Worker Market
This paper investigates the role of worker-firm matching algorithms in accounting for early job separation rates. For this purpose, we examine Korea’s temporary foreign worker program in which the ...
(published in: Korean Economic Review, 2021, 37 (2), 419-454)
J4, J6, O15
14325 Jeffrey T. Denning
Brian A. Jacob
Lars Lefgren
Christian vom Lehn
The Return to Hours Worked within and across Occupations: Implications for the Gender Wage Gap
Prior research suggests that gender differences in hours worked play an important role in the gender pay gap. Yet common estimates of the wage returns to hours worked are close to zero, implying that ...
(published in: ILR Review, 2022, 75 (5), 1321 - 1347)
J16, J22, J31, J33
14324 Michael French
Gulcin Gumus
Death on the Job: The Great Recession and Work-Related Traffic Fatalities
In light of recent discussions about shifting employees from traditional workplaces to virtual employment, we are motivated by the question of whether this phenomenon will end up saving lives even in ...
(revised version published in: Social Science & Medicine, 2021, 280, 113979)
E32, I12, I18
14323 Pablo Agnese
Jonathan Thoss
New Moneys under the New Normal? Bitcoin and Gold Interdependence during COVID Times
Bitcoin in particular and so-called cryptocurrencies in general have shaken up the financial world and seem to be claiming an increasing size of the market share. These new virtual assets present ...
(published as 'Too hot and too close. Bitcoin and gold dynamics during covid times' in: Studies in Economics and Finance, 2023, 40 (5), 901 - 912)
G15, G12, G11
14322 Anna D’Ambrosio
Roberto Leombruni
Tiziano Razzolini
'Fear Is the Path to the Dark Side'. Electoral Results and the Workplace Safety of Immigrants
Populist parties' propaganda portrays immigrants as a threat to native workers' jobs. When propaganda materializes as an electoral success, it may drive changes in natives' attitudes towards ...
(substantially revised version published as 'Does far-right populism affect immigrants’ working conditions?' in Journal of Population Economics, 2025, 38 (1), 13.)
D72, J28, J71
14321 Jinyoung Kim
Seonghoon Kim
Kanghyock Koh
Labor Market Institutions and the Incidence of Payroll Taxation
Despite unambiguous predictions of the canonical model of a competitive labor market, empirical studies on the labor market effects of payroll taxation provide conflicting evidence. Our meta-analysis ...
(published in: Journal of Public Economics, 2022, 209, 104646)
H24, I31, J22
14320 Benjamin Elsner
Ingo E. Isphording
Ulf Zölitz
Achievement Rank Affects Performance and Major Choices in College
This paper studies how a student's ordinal rank in a peer group affects performance and specialisation choices in university. By exploiting data with repeated random assignment of students to ...
(published in: Economic Journal, 2021, 640 (131), 3182 - 3206.)
I21, J16, J31
14315 Hai-Anh H Dang
Paul Glewwe
Khoa Vu
Jongwook Lee
What Explains Vietnam's Exceptional Performance in Education Relative to Other Countries? Analysis of the 2012 and 2015 Pisa Data
Despite being the poorest or second poorest participant, Vietnam performed much better than all other developing countries, and even ahead of wealthier countries such as the U.S. and the U.K., on the ...
(published in: Economics of Education Review, 2023, 96, 102434.)
H0, I2, O1, P3
14313 David C. Ribar
Ross Rubenstein
Gaining, Losing, and Regaining Merit-Based Scholarships
Georgia offers two merit-based scholarships to in-state college students: HOPE Scholarships, which provide partial tuition support, and Zell Miller Scholarships, which provide full tuition support ...
(published in: Education Finance and Policy, 2023, 18 (4), 597–622)
I22
14311 Vasiliki Fouka
Marco Tabellini
Changing Ingroup Boundaries: The Effect of Immigration on Race Relations in the US
How do social group boundaries evolve? Does the appearance of a new outgroup change the ingroup's perceptions of other outgroups? We introduce a conceptual framework of context-dependent ...
(published as ' American Political Science Review Article contents Abstract References Changing In-Group Boundaries: The Effect of Immigration on Race Relations in the United States' in: American Political Science Review. 2022, 116 (3), 968-984.)
J11, J15
14310 Bin Huang
Massimiliano Tani
Yu Zhu
Does Higher Education Make You More Entrepreneurial? Causal Evidence from China
Using the 2017 China Household Finance Survey (CHFS), we estimate the effect of higher education on entrepreneurship for prime-aged males. We distinguish between own-account workers and employers of ...
(published in: Journal of Business Research, 2021, 135, 543-558. )
I25, J24, L26
14309 Giacomo Damioli
Vincent Van Roy
Daniel Vertesy
Marco Vivarelli
May AI Revolution Be Labour-Friendly? Some Micro Evidence from the Supply Side
This study investigates the possible job-creation impact of AI technologies, focusing on the supply side, namely the providers of the new knowledge base. The empirical analysis is based on a ...
(published as 'Drivers of the evolution of employment in AI innovators' in: Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, 201, 123249)
O33
14308 Duha T. Altindag
Naci Mocan
Jie Zhang
Freedom of Speech, Deterrence, and Compellence in the Parliament
In most countries Parliamentary immunity protects lawmakers from civil or criminal charges while in office, and it shields them from prosecution for their political speech or political actions. This ...
(published as 'Deterrence and Compellence in Parliament' in: Journal of Law & Economics, 2023, 66 (2), Article 5. )
P16, K40, D72, H0
14307 Shyamal Chowdhury
Varun Satish
Munshi Sulaiman
Yi Sun
Sooner Rather Than Later: Social Networks and Technology Adoption
Using data from a randomised experiment in Kenya, we estimate the causal effect of social networks on technology adoption. In this experiment, farmers were invited to information sessions about the ...
(published in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022, 203, 466-482)
O12, P36, Z13
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