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IZA/EUI Workshop on Demographic Change and Secular Transitions in Labor Markets: What Can We Learn from a Dynamic Perspective?

Organizers: Uwe Sunde (University of Munich and IZA), Omar Licandro (European University Institute), David de la Croix (Université catholique de Louvain), Matteo Cervellati (University of Bologna and IZA)
Location:IZA, Bonn
Date:September 03, 2006 - September 04, 2006

Event Manager:

Ulrike Maurer (IZA)

About the Workshop

The demographic structure of societies in economically developed countries underwent profound and unprecedented changes during the past centuries, with education spreading and child labor disappearing, with health conditions improving, and life expectancy rising, and with large families dissolving. Today,
ongoing changes reflect some of the most important challenges for society. Despite considerable efforts, not much is known about secular transitions in individual behavior, demographic changes, and the interrelations with economic performance in a dynamic perspective. Only very recently has the economics profession experienced a revived interest in addressing questions like what were the driving forces behind these changes, and what are the dynamic interrelations between economic and demographic change. This new strand of research builds on interrelated decisions about labor supply, education and fertility, and shows how these individual decisions in turn affect the aggregate conditions, and are in turn determined by aggregate conditions. Assumptions on individual behavior in these theories are based on new empirical results, obtained from historical data and data from developing countries.

Undeniably, knowledge about the driving forces behind and the mechanics of secular transitions plays a crucial role for understanding the reasons for developments and problems observable in the world today. The workshop is intended to bring together a group of leading researchers from all over the world working on different aspects of demographic change and long-term development. The aim is to provide participants with an opportunity to discuss their research among a group of researchers with similar research interests in a relaxed atmosphere. Deliberately, the workshop takes a broad view of the topic and invites theoretical as well as empirical research to be presented.


Sunday, September 03:

10:45 - 11:00   Official Welcome and Announcements
11:00 - 12:00   Nippe Lagerloef (York University, Canada*))
  "War and Genocide: Is there a Connection to Transitions from Stagnation to Growth?"
12:00 - 13:30   Lunch
13:30 - 14:30   Raouf Boucekkine (CORE, Université catholique de Louvain*)), Jean-Pierre Laffargue (CEPREMAP and University Paris I)
  "Medium term dynamics and inequalities under epidemics"
14:30 - 15:30   David de la Croix (Université catholique de Louvain*)), Thomas Lindh (Institute for Future Studies), Bo Malmberg (Institute for Future Studies)
  "Growth in Longevity from the Industrial Revolution to the Future of an Aging Society"
15:30 - 16:00   Coffee Break
16:00 - 17:00   Rodrigo R. Soares (Insper, São Paulo and IZA*)), Bruno Falcão (Yale University)
  "The Demographic Transition and the Sexual Division of Labor"
17:00 - 18:00   Matteo Cervellati (University of Bologna and IZA*)), Uwe Sunde (IZA)
  "Fertility, Education and Mortality: A Unified Theory of the Economic and Demographic Transition"
19:30       Workshop Dinner

Monday, September 04:

09:00 - 10:00   Oksana M. Leukhina (University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill*)), Michael Bar (San Francisco State University)
  "Accounting for Labor Force Participation of Married Women: The Case of the U.S. since 1959."
10:00 - 11:00   John Knowles (Simon Fraser University*))
  "Why are Married Men Working So Much?"
11:00 - 11:15   Coffee Break
11:15 - 12:15   Omer Moav (University of Warwick*)), Oded Galor (Brown University)
  "Natural Selection and the Evolution of Life Expectancy"
12:15 - 13:15   Matthias Doepke (Northwestern University and IZA*)), Andrea Eisfeldt (Northwestern University)
13:15 - 14:30   Lunch
14:30 - 15:30   Hippolyte D'Albis (University of Toulouse I*)), Emmanuel Thibault (University of Toulouse I)
  "Ambiguous Life Expectancy and Economic Development"
15:30 - 16:30   Hosny Zoabi (European University Institute*)), Moshe Hazan (Hebrew University)
  "Does Longevity Cause Growth? A Theoretical Critique"
16:30 - 17:00   Coffee Break
17:00 - 18:00   Guillaume Vandenbroucke (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis*))
  "A Model of the Trends in Hours"

*) current affiliation


Boucekkine, Raouf (Catholic University of Louvain la Neuve) email: boucekkine@core.ucl.ac.be
Cervellati, Matteo (Institute for Economic Analysis) email: matteo.cervellati@upf.edu
D'Albis, Hippolyte ( University of Toulouse I) email: hippolyte.d-albis@univ-tlse1.fr
de la Croix, David (Catholic University of Louvain la Neuve) email: delacroix@ires.ucl.ac.be
Doepke, Matthias (University of California) email: doepke@econ.ucla.edu
Knowles, John A. (University of Pennsylvania) email: jknowles@econ.sas.upenn.edu
Lagerloef, Nippe (York University, Canada) email: lagerlof@econ.yorku.ca
Leukhina, Oksana M. (University of North Carolina) email: oksana@email.unc.edu
Licandro, Omar (European University Institute) email: omar.licandro@iue.it
Moav, Omer (Hebrew University) email: msmoav@mscc.huji.ac.il
Soares, Rodrigo (University of Maryland) email: soares@econ.umd.edu
Sunde, Uwe (IZA) email: sunde@iza.org
Vandenbroucke, Guillaume (University of Southern California) email: vandenbr@usc.edu
Zoabi, Hosny (European University Institute) email: hosny.zoabi@iue.it