Self-Selection, Earnings, and Out-Migration: A Longitudinal Study of Immigrants to Germany

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IZA Seminar

Place: Schaumburg-Lippe-Str. 9, 53113 Bonn

Date: 05.11.2002, 12:00 - 13:30

   

Presentation by 

Amelie F. Constant (Temple University)
   

Abstract:

In this paper we seek to deepen understanding of out-migration as a social and
economic process and to investigate whether cross-sectional earnings assimilation results
suffer from selection bias. To model the process of out-migration we conduct a detailed
event history analysis of men and women immigrants in Germany. Our 14 year longitudinal
study reveals that emigrants are negatively selected with respect to occupational prestige
and to stable full time employment. Our results show no selectivity with respect to human
capital, earnings, or gender. The likelihood of return migration is strongly determined by
the range and nature of social attachments to Germany and origin countries, and grows
higher toward retirement. This selective emigration, however, does not appear to distort
cross-sectional estimates of earnings assimilation.

   
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